BTC Up or Down · 5-minute HedgeBot

Loading… Paper Chainlink Binance Coinbase Polymarket Bot Stream
BTC / USD · Chainlink Data Streams
No feed
waiting for first report
BTC TWAP · Chainlink
No feed
waiting for the first average
Up · market value
—
bid / ask
Down · market value
—
bid / ask
Last sharp move
—
Binance, this window
Window closes in
—
—
Bankroll · paper
—
starting stake
P&L · today
—
all time
Windows won
—
settled windows
Fees paid
—
taker fees
Signal · this window
—
waiting for a sharp move
Position
flat
no resting order

BTC / USD during this window

bot fill

Chainlink Data Streams benchmark price. The gray rule is the window's TWAP open — the level this market settles against.

Up & Down market value

Up mid Down mid bot fill

Mid price of each outcome, in probability terms (0–1).

Basis cost · avg Up + avg Down

—

What one Up+Down pair has cost the bot so far in this window: its average all-in price per Up share plus per Down share, fees included. Under the $1 payout rule every pair is locked profit; over it, a locked loss. It starts at the first buy of the second side, and only a buy moves it. Hover for the two sides and how many pairs it covers.

Inventory control · Up shares − Down shares

—

The bot's net position through this window. On the balanced rule every share is paired and the outcome doesn't matter to it; above the rule it is long Up, below it long Down, and the distance is how many shares ride on the result. Every buy adds to its side, and nothing is sold: it all rides to settlement. Hover for Up, Down and paired shares.

Order-book imbalance · Consolidated · full book

—
above 0 · bid-heavy, leans Up below 0 · ask-heavy, leans Down bot fill

(bid quantity − ask quantity) ÷ total, in [−1, +1], over every resting level. Buying Down at p is selling Up at 1−p, so the consolidated book merges both legs into one synthetic Up book: Up bids and Down asks on the bid side, Up asks and Down bids on the ask side. +1 is every resting share bidding Up, −1 every one offering it. Hover for the quantities.

BTC drift from open

—
above 0 · up from open below 0 · down from open bot fill

Live price minus the window open, in dollars, one point per Chainlink report (about one a second). The zero baseline is the open — which side of it the fill sits on is the whole question the window settles. The dashed line is the settling average against its own open, which is the level this market actually resolves on: it lags the fill by design, so the gap between them is the move spot has already made and the average has yet to pay out. The dotted line is the local reconstruction of it.

Sharp moves · Binance → Chainlink

—

Binance BTC/USDT moving sharply, and how long Chainlink took to move the same way: by Chainlink's own observation time, and by when its tick reached this bot. The second is the head start watching Binance buys. A move is signalled the instant it crosses the bar; its size is the whole cascade, up to the end of its cooldown.

No sharp moves recorded yet.

Bot fills

—

Every simulated fill, with both books' mids when it landed. Fills inside the window on the price charts are marked there too. Select a row to load its window.

No fills yet.

P&L curve

—
above 0 · in profit below 0 · under water

Realised P&L, cumulative from zero, running through the settled windows in the order they traded. The right-hand end is the all-time figure in the tile above.

Up order book

Top levels; bar length is size relative to the largest shown.

Waiting for book…

Down order book

Top levels; bar length is size relative to the largest shown.

Waiting for book…

Traded windows

—

Every window the bot bought into, newest first. Select a row to load it.

No windows traded yet.

Order log

Every order the bot sent, what came of it, and why.

No orders yet.

Why it stood aside

—

The gate that stopped a buy, counted per second once the entry delay is up. Standing aside is the normal state; the rows marked signal was clear are not — those are trades the strategy wanted and something else refused.

Nothing recorded yet.

Recent windows

Every window the bot watched, traded or not. Select a row to load it.

No windows recorded yet.